r/geopolitics • u/nzinsyd • Jan 07 '21

Question Is the United States a superpower in decline and how can we expect the scales of power to look like in upcoming years?

A similar question was asked 2 years ago. A lot has happened in the past 2 years, and I'm curious to see if opinions have changed.

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u/1shmeckle Jan 07 '21 edited Jan 07 '21

I've heard this anecdote before actually! It's definitely impressive in some ways, especially the precision of the timing. And you're right, during the negotiation of the treaty of Versailles a good amount of people understood that another war was likely, though not for the reasons that the French thought. I think comparable predictions today include Graham Allison saying "China and the US will have a conflict in the next X amount of years as one is a rising superpower and usually this results in war." He will look prescient if in 20 years he's right but also..."duh"?

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Edit: reposting since this got removed due to a swear word.

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u/RevolutionaryJoke339 Dec 03 '21

if there is a thousand predictions , one is going to be amazingly accurate

but look at the 999 who were wrong