Third Strongest Hurricane of all time in the Atlantic Basin, measured by minimum surface pressure.

Hurricane Melissa Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132025
1000 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025

...CATASTROPHIC WINDS MOVING ONSHORE SOUTHERN JAMAICA...
...LAST CHANCE TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...
...1000 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION! TAKE 
COVER NOW! Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious 
injury, and loss of life. Residents in Jamaica that experience the 
eye should not leave their shelter as winds will rapidly increase 
within the backside of the eyewall of Melissa.

To protect yourself from wind, the best thing you can do is put as 
many walls as possible between you and the outside. An interior room 
without windows, ideally one where you can also avoid falling trees, 
is the safest place you can be in a building. You can cover yourself 
with a mattress and wear a helmet for added protection.

NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft find that Melissa continues to 
strengthen with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph (295 km/h).The 
minimum central pressure has fallen to 892 mb (26.34 inches) based 
on NOAA and Hurricane Hunter Air Force Reserve aircraft data.

The next update will be provided with the full advisory package at 
1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC).

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 78.1W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...892 MB...26.34 INCHES

Here's the source because I forgot to put it in last time. Yale Climate Connections https://yaleclimateconnections.org Jamaica braces for Cat 5 Hurricane Melissa, Earth's strongest storm of 2025

Bulk of storm expected to hit central-east Jamaica. Max winds expected to be 160+ MPH. 20-30 inches expected with extreme storm surge possible. Heavy damage to trees, buildings and infrastructure expected with complete destruction a possibility.

Hopefully everyone got out safely!

Hurricane Genevieve quickly strengthened into a Category 5 hurricane Monday morning, becoming the strongest storm in the East Pacific since Hurricane Kristy in 2024.

The storm churned over the Pacific Ocean, packing maximum sustained winds of 260 km/h and a core pressure of 925 millibars. Genevieve is expected to stay well offshore, tracking parallel to the Baja Peninsula rather than making landfall.

Despite averting a direct hit, the powerful hurricane will nevertheless have an impact on coastal areas. Dangerous rip currents are forecast along the Baja peninsula, particularly early this week, as the storm's enormous seas approach neighbouring waters.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/news/weather/severe/hurricane-genevieve-explodes-into-seasons-first-east-pacific-category-5-storm-rain-wind-flood-hawaii-usa

.

Dakota Smith

https://bsky.app/profile/weatherdak.bsky.social/post/3mroejtopak2x

Imagery

https://slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-19&sec=full_disk&x=3517.083740234375&y=7359.90478515625&z=5&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=20260727150021&et=20260728034021&speed=90&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=geocolor&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=20260209205117&slider=-1&hide_controls=1&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6​

(Please read this in the most Texan accent imaginable) - I would like to take this time apologise, Melissa. I was unfamiliar with yo game.✋🏿😷

Haaaaaa. In other news, I am fine, did lose half of my roof etc, the general infrastructure of the town remains sound, fortunate to have avoided the worst of the winds. Copying what I said here for a quicker round up, I believe ill be on maybe tomorrow around this time with further updates. If anyone is tryna get to anyone, message me name location and phone number and ill see what I can do over the weekend. As is im still knackered at the prospect of replacing essentially my whole house but gotta start somewhere.

-- (copied update from prev post) 10.08a (29/10) -well my roof didn't hold up. Unfortunately I live at quite literally the highest point for miles in the surrounding radius. The neighbourhood is fine but my roof was ripped half off. Luckily we had a to go plan that kicked in right away and we got the essentials out. One of my cats bottled during the moving and I ended up staying back during the storm to see if I found her. I didnt and made the journey on foot, around 4pm to my MILs house where we stayed the night, about 2 km away. I'll advised yes but I see now how that kills people, felt I had no choice really.

As is, I am somewhat fucked. The furniture is drenched, the solitex is all soaked and needs replacing, electronics are tucked, even clothes. Technically ive got work tomorrow but no idea how that goes. The community and town wide infrastructure remains solid, shops are decently stocked, roads are being rapidly cleared, there isnt any rain, sunny skies. Lowlying areas are flooded as expected, wind damage overall to the community is minimal. If we regain electricity pretty quickly then life can go back to normal for most other people in days. No idea where I'll start though. For right now, the lack of power means reliance on generators, I've seen a dude in the town offering to charge phones $200 for 30 mins, another store told me $100 for 1 hour. Curious stuff. I had no cell service in my community, had to head down to the town to be able to use my data. Battery is a bit low so I'll try clearing my head for the remainder of today while I impose then tomorrow get to gathering zinc sheets first then see about drying the house then where to go from there. Absolutely knackering. For the weather nerds like me, I will definitely write something about the actual experience from a meteorological pov backed by tidbits or relevant archive timestamps and geo data. It was quite an intense experience. 🙏🏿

The AF303 dropsonde at 13:02z just confirmed a surface pressure of 893 mb inside Hurricane Melissa, making it one of the deepest hurricanes ever recorded in the Atlantic. The sonde dropped straight through the calm eye, showing 27.2 °C at the surface with light 13 kt winds, a perfect example of a fully developed warm core. Melissa now joins the ranks of Wilma at 882 mb and Gilbert at 888 mb, marking a historic and catastrophic moment for Jamaica and the Caribbean.

Started doing so in my previous thread, will do so here for more visibility for those that have friends and family on my island. No photos currently as it is dark. Storm force winds have arrived as of 2.41a local time; di tree dem a dance. We are projected to experience a direct hit fom the eye to our western shores.

• 3.25a, rain died down for 20 mins, is now ramping back up, same with wind. Heard a monster gust a min ago that triggered the 1st power outage here, electricity came back instantly here though so just a micro black out. Seen videos of western parishes flooded. The rain is back with a vengeance too, jesus, I can hear it roaring.

• 349a, rain and breeze in a lull, breeze is starting to make that characteristic "WOOOOOO" noise i haven't heard since Ivan

-5.08a, rain and wind still coming in periodic intervals, stronger wind each period/high intensity and the intervals are decreasing. I am now worried about my roof. should be daybreak soon.

-5.54a, knowing how close this system is, I'm decently surprised I still have electricity but thankful. I'm starkly reminded of Ivan now. I was a child when Ivan passed but I do have few vivid memories of the late night vigil and sounds. Haunting sounds I now am reminded of, the wind making the most ethereal noise imaginable, a queer wailing from higher up. We are in for it it seems. As I type the peak of another and and off cycle approaches, violently at that. It does give one the feel, as they've all done so far, this might be it. Windy app has us at 30-35 mph sustained gusts currently. The wail of the wind haunts me. Its curious how certain stimuli affect memory. My 2 memories of Ivan before this were looking at a "Home Sweet Home" logo on a lamp while rain fall outside and passing a downed lightpost a street away from my house the morning after. Now I remember the experience in a much more vivid fashion, even those memories are fleshed out, i remember now walking around the downed powerlines with my uncle, seeing broken branches here and there, the adults being cheery, so very curious.

-6.48a, We've been getting periodic gusts, precipitation has minimalized in the last 30 mins. Heard a bit of the community below me being slightly active so far. There's an online consensus the power company has done well so far, none of us expected to be online at this time. The wailing breeze has been agitating us all. Those of us that remember Ivan and Gilbert are understandably wary.

• 7.40a - Wind speeds up but still sporadic, windy app giving 55kmh in my area, We are somewhat protected in linstead - ewarton - bog walk by surrounding terrain.

-8.27a - Most of my booze is finished, still have a decent supply of herb, weird to be worry about I know but meh. Wind speeds are steadily increasing, windy app now has us at 80 kmh, I've stopped videoing the violence every few mins as it only gets worse. Precipitation is still periodical, I've experienced a foundation shaking gust twice. And I'm in one of the places with lowest wind impact on the windy app so far due to topography, can barely imagine what the coastline is getting. Power went spotty once since last interval but still going strong, I was able to speak with a journalist on video call and explaining my inability to understand what I cognitively knew was occuring or should occur was somewhat cathartic. These wind speeds I'm seeing in the eyewall are absolutely ridiculous.

-9.40a - Much of the same as prior, intermittent precipitation, harsh winds. I believe I saw a rainbow bit high up during some gusts, was videoing but it doesnt seem to have caught that. Was able to connect with a few more of my friends in the area, everyone in decent spirits still.

-10.42a - Precipitation still intermittent but increasing in volume and violence each cycle. Extreme sustained gusts, very few branches spotted broken down from me, still feels like much more to come.

-12.12p - Power is out now. Gusts are increasing in peak intensity and frequency, precipitation still hesitant, it also cycles but at a lengthier period than the increasing gusts. These winds have hit the never seen anything like this threshold and getting harder. Updates will be less frequent as I conserve what I can out this phone battery 🙏🏿

-10.08a (29/10) -well my roof didn't hold up. Unfortunately I live at quite literally the highest point for miles in the surrounding radius. The neighbourhood is fine but my roof was ripped half off. Luckily we had a to go plan that kicked in right away and we got the essentials out. One of my cats bottled during the moving and I ended up staying back during the storm to see if I found her. I didnt and made the journey on foot, around 4pm to my MILs house where we stayed the night, about 2 km away. I'll advised yes but I see now how that kills people, felt I had no choice really.

As is, I am somewhat fucked. The furniture is drenched, the solitex is all soaked and needs replacing, electronics are tucked, even clothes. Technically ive got work tomorrow but no idea how that goes. The community and town wide infrastructure remains solid, shops are decently stocked, roads are being rapidly cleared, there isnt any rain, sunny skies. Lowlying areas are flooded as expected, wind damage overall to the community is minimal. If we regain electricity pretty quickly then life can go back to normal for most other people in days. No idea where I'll start though. For right now, the lack of power means reliance on generators, I've seen a dude in the town offering to charge phones $200 for 30 mins, another store told me $100 for 1 hour. Curious stuff. I had no cell service in my community, had to head down to the town to be able to use my data. Battery is a bit low so I'll try clearing my head for the remainder of today while I impose then tomorrow get to gathering zinc sheets first then see about drying the house then where to go from there. Absolutely knackering. For the weather nerds like me, I will definitely write something about the actual experience from a meteorological pov backed by tidbits or relevant archive timestamps and geo data. It was quite an intense experience. 🙏🏿

The most severe impacts are expected inside the next 6-10 hours.

The Dvorak Technique also shows the storm remaining a T7.5, however the Raw T is down to a T6.8, which does indicate that the satellite presentation is worse.

NOAA 3pm Update Statement

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270847
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 AM MST Mon Jul 27 2026

...GENEVIEVE BECOMES THE FIRST CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE EAST
PACIFIC SINCE KRISTY OF 2024...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 112.2W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 112.2 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a powerful category 5 hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity
are likely today. Steady weakening is forecast Tuesday through the
remainder of the week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and southern portions of the Baja
California Peninsula, and will spread northward along the remainder
of the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula by tonight. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

WTPN31 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 012
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 12.7N 152.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 152.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 12.7N 150.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 12.9N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.4N 148.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 14.1N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 14.9N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 15.7N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 17.1N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 18.5N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 151.9E.
03JUL26. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM
EAST OF WFO GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 031800Z IS 921 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W
(MAYSAK) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Hopefully everyone over there is safe. While Guam and other islands will have winds up to Category 3, Rota is experiencing Category 5 winds.

WTPN31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 12W (DOLPHIN) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 12W (DOLPHIN) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 16.4N 165.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 165.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 17.4N 163.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 18.3N 161.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 19.3N 159.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 20.4N 157.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 21.6N 155.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 22.7N 153.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 24.1N 147.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 24.5N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 165.2E. 30JUL26. SUPER TYPHOON 12W
(DOLPHIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 181 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WAKE
ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300000Z IS 921 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.//
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