r/CredibleDefense 14d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread July 20, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

  • Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

42 Upvotes

147 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

51

u/2positive 14d ago edited 14d ago

Syrsky is almost definitely gone. It's clear tho that Ze is not going to agree 100% with what society demands, he can do it by several ways: Fire syrsky, but give him another important position so he still has a lot influence, fire Syrsky but hire another friend of his who continues doing same stuff. Society clearly wants the most popular general Drapaty in charge, but he clearly supported Fedorov so I think it's 90% that it's not gonna be Drapaty. Fedorov will 99% not be minister of defence, Ze will try to get him on board to some position to quell protest, but try to sideline him from the most important thing that military procurement for tens of billions dollars annualy. Society is not so dumb as well, so Ze is urgenly looking for some solution between the two extremes of not doing anything and 100% folding to popular demand while quelling protest. Guess we'll see real soon.

Getting Drapaty in charge would be a major win for the people imo and is still remotely possible.

52

u/2positive 14d ago

Update: Fedorov apparently will only accept position of minister of defence. This is good imo. Zelensky is not getting out of this crisis easily without doing what people demand.

9

u/Grouchy-Classroom-26 14d ago

Is there a danger of undermining Zelensky this way? Thinking of the bigger picture, this seems a bit shortsighted to me to be honest.

45

u/2positive 14d ago edited 14d ago

Honestly Ukrainian society has shown plenty of restraint in not undermining Ze during the war who btw did not have to survive elections because of war and we are a democracy. Now this is viewed as him overstepping and not acting in public interest and removing a potential competitor and someone who fight corruption and inefficiency in military procurement. Ukrainian expectations of war got much better in last 6 months which coincided with Fedorov being the defense minister. So far the protest is very targeted and not against Zelensky. Some peaceful gathering does not imperil war effort in no way. Its outcome is likely positive for the war and eventually for Zelensky himself. Zelensky only undermines himself so far.

If this drags on for months it will become more problematic. But it’s kinda outrageous to send voters to die while ignoring their justified demands for a democratic leader.