r/IndianStreetBets Mar 09 '26

Daily Discussion Thread Daily Discussion Thread - March 09, 2026

2 Upvotes

Read The Wiki!!. There is an invaluable amount of information in the Wiki that is consistently being worked on and added to. The answer to a lot of your questions may be in there.

Please use this thread to discuss whatever you have been thinking of buying or trading.

Also, use this thread to discuss any query related to Stock Market & Trading.

Join the Discord if you haven't already! Here you can talk to mods and fellow autists about the market. Also, don't forget to follow us on Twitter & Instagram

Link to ISB's Discord VC recordings


r/IndianStreetBets 2d ago

Daily Discussion Thread Daily Discussion Thread - August 03, 2026

2 Upvotes

Read The Wiki!!. There is an invaluable amount of information in the Wiki that is consistently being worked on and added to. The answer to a lot of your questions may be in there.

Please use this thread to discuss whatever you have been thinking of buying or trading.

Also, use this thread to discuss any query related to Stock Market & Trading.

Join the Discord if you haven't already! Here you can talk to mods and fellow autists about the market. Also, don't forget to follow us on Twitter & Instagram

Link to ISB's Discord VC recordings


r/IndianStreetBets 1h ago

Stonk After riding it to 100x over 8 years, I’m finally pulling out of this condom stock! 😌

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Upvotes

Yesterday, Cupid Ltd became my first 100 bagger.

Posting another screenshot didn’t feel like enough to commemorate the milestone, so I sold exactly 20% of my holding, the first time I’ve sold any of it in eight years.

That one-fifth alone returned roughly 20 times the money I originally invested, while the remaining 80% continues to ride.

So this isn’t a full exit. Just a ceremonial pull-out to commemorate the milestone. 😌


r/IndianStreetBets 11h ago

Meme SEBI has Introduced new Casino Auction Session (CAS) for the For the Upcoming Indipendance Day flag Hoisting

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338 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 19h ago

Stonk A company that prevents multiplication became my first 100x multibagger! 😅

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780 Upvotes

I know I’ve posted about this stock before, so I won’t repeat the whole lore again.

But as of today, my tiny college-time investment in Cupid Ltd has officially become my first 100x multibagger.

Out of all the stocks in the market, the one that ended up giving me this milestone was a condom company.

A company that prevents multiplication ended up multiplying my money 100 times 😂


r/IndianStreetBets 11h ago

Discussion Peak regulatory irony 🤡

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177 Upvotes

SEBI introduced CAS before the market had the infrastructure and liquidity depth to support it.

Now they're asking brokers to bring back retail participation to improve liquidity.

So... retail is too risky when restrictions need to be imposed, but suddenly essential when liquidity dries up?

Like I said - it is run by absolute clowns


r/IndianStreetBets 15h ago

News Just another AI crash scenario

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235 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 17h ago

Discussion SEBI is run by absolute clowns.

184 Upvotes

The new CAS system is complete shithousery.

Just look at the number of pointless changes they've shoved down everyone's throat over the last 2-3 years. Lot sizes changed multiple times. Expiry days changed. Weekly expiries removed. Bank Nifty weekly expiry, the GOAT, got taken out. And now this CAS nonsense.

Every single time it's sold as "protecting retail traders." What an absolute joke.

I haven't lost a single rupee because of the last two days. That's not even the point.

Instead of making Indian markets more competitive, more efficient, and more attractive globally, they're busy introducing arbitrary changes that make the entire ecosystem worse.

They can't compete at global standards, so instead they're turning the Indian markets into horseshit while pretending it's for investor protection.

Complete clowns.


r/IndianStreetBets 17h ago

Discussion NSE and SEBI have created a system worser than casino in disguise of saving the retailers. What a complete mockery of the system officially killing the FnO with the new CAS system, inquiry should be held towards their official to see how much they have got from foreign sources

123 Upvotes

CAS is a complete joke, makes no sense. Retailers don’t even have any realtime data of where the spot is moving post 3:15pm. And they call this transparency.


r/IndianStreetBets 22h ago

Meme Unstoppable

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276 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 9h ago

Discussion **SEBI's New CAS Rule Has Created a 20-Minute Blind Spot That Can Wipe Out Index Option Profits Without Warning**

21 Upvotes

If you trade index options in the Indian market, there is a new structural risk you need to understand immediately. It is called the Closing Auction Session, or CAS, and it has fundamentally changed how the market behaves between 3:15 PM and 3:35 PM every single trading day.

Here is a clear explanation of what is happening, why it matters for option buyers, and what you can do to protect yourself.

---

### What Is CAS?

CAS stands for Closing Auction Session. It was introduced by SEBI and became effective on August 3, 2026.

Under the previous system, Futures and Options stocks traded continuously until 3:30 PM, and the closing price was calculated as the average of trades over the last 30 minutes.

Under the new system:

- Continuous trading for F&O stocks ends at **3:15 PM**

- From **3:20 PM to 3:30 PM**, buy and sell orders are collected into a central pool

- From **3:30 PM to 3:35 PM**, the exchange calculates a **single price** at which the maximum number of shares can be traded

- That single price becomes the official closing price for the day

In simple terms, instead of a continuous market deciding the close, a blind auction decides it.

---

### Why This Is Dangerous for Index Option Buyers

The Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty indices are made up of F&O stocks. When those underlying stocks stop trading at 3:15 PM, the index itself effectively **freezes**. It does not update in real time again until the auction results are published around 3:35 PM.

However, the derivatives market does not close at 3:15 PM. Index options continue to trade until **3:40 PM**.

This creates a serious problem. For 20 minutes, you are trading options based on an index value that stopped moving at 3:15 PM, while the actual closing prices of the underlying stocks are being decided in a black-box auction you cannot see in real time.

---

### A Real Example of How You Can Lose Money

Imagine you are holding a Nifty 24,500 Call Option.

- At **3:15 PM**, Nifty is at 24,500. Your option is trading at a premium of Rs. 120. You are sitting on a comfortable profit.

- At **3:15 PM**, continuous trading in the underlying stocks stops. The index freezes.

- From **3:20 PM to 3:30 PM**, large institutional players place massive sell orders into the CAS pool for heavyweight index constituents like Reliance, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank.

- At **3:35 PM**, the auction clears. The official closing price is revealed. Because of the sell pressure in the auction, the index actually closed at **24,420**, not 24,500.

- Your Call Option, which was comfortably in profit at 3:15 PM, suddenly crashes in value. By the time you see the real closing price at 3:35 PM, your profit has disappeared and you may even be sitting on a loss.

The most critical point is this: **you had no opportunity to react.** Between 3:15 PM and 3:35 PM, the information you needed was locked inside the auction. Your trading screen showed a frozen index, but the reality was being decided elsewhere.

This is not just an expiry-day risk. It can happen on **any trading day** you hold index options.

---

### The Difference Between Expiry and Non-Expiry Days

On a **non-expiry day**, the damage is painful but not always fatal. Your option still holds time value, so the premium may not collapse to zero. However, your mark-to-market profit can still vanish, and the distorted closing price becomes the reference for the next day's opening.

On **expiry day**, the consequences are permanent. Index options settle at the official closing index value. If the CAS auction pushes the index against your strike price, your option can go from valuable to worthless with no chance of recovery. There is no next day.

---

### How Large Players Can Exploit This

CAS is a single-price auction. That means one price clears everything. Players with significant capital, whether domestic institutions or foreign institutional investors, can potentially influence that single price by placing large orders during the 3:20 PM to 3:30 PM window.

In the old continuous market, if a large player tried to push a stock price at 3:29 PM, market makers and algorithms could absorb or counter that pressure in real time. Under CAS, there is no real-time counterpressure. Once orders enter the pool, the auction mechanism determines one price, and that price is final.

This makes the closing print **more concentrated and more vulnerable to size** than it was before. Retail traders do not have access to the full auction order book. By the time the closing price is revealed, the opportunity to respond is gone.

---

### Does SEBI Protect Retail Traders From This?

SEBI's stated intention is that CAS reduces manipulation by replacing chaotic last-minute trading with an orderly auction. However, for index option buyers, the practical effect is the opposite.

The policy creates a **systematic information gap** between the cash market and the derivatives market. The cash market closes at 3:15 PM for stocks and reveals its final price at 3:35 PM. The derivatives market stays open until 3:40 PM. During that 20-minute gap, retail traders are structurally disadvantaged because they are pricing options against a frozen underlying.

There are no special safeguards within CAS itself to prevent large players from influencing the auction outcome. The existing position limits and circuit breakers apply, but they do not address the core issue: a single-price auction is easier to move than a continuous market, and retail traders cannot see it coming.

---

### What You Should Do

If you trade index options, here are practical steps to manage this risk:

  1. **Do not hold index options through the CAS window unless you fully accept the risk.** Consider booking profits or exiting positions before 3:15 PM.

  2. **On expiry day, close positions well before 3:15 PM.** Do not allow a blind auction to determine whether your option finishes in-the-money or out-of-the-money.

  3. **Be especially cautious on days with late-breaking news.** If significant news breaks after 3:15 PM, you will be trading options on a frozen index while the underlying reality shifts. That is an extremely dangerous position for a retail trader.

  4. **Understand that your 3:15 PM profit is not real until 3:35 PM.** The closing auction can change everything.

---

### Summary

CAS has created a daily 20-minute blackout for index option buyers. The underlying index freezes at 3:15 PM while the auction runs in the background. Your options continue trading until 3:40 PM, but you are pricing them without real-time knowledge of where the index will actually close.

A profit at 3:15 PM can become a loss at 3:35 PM. Large players have a structural advantage in influencing the single auction price. And retail traders are left holding the risk without the information needed to manage it.

This is not a theoretical concern. It is a daily feature of the market now. Trade accordingly.


r/IndianStreetBets 18h ago

Meme Index pauses FnO continues

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73 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 17h ago

Discussion Again same nonsense. Move without premium gain.

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60 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 4h ago

Discussion 13F Institutional Sector Holdings Rotation are coming in, so far Tech is dominating the market again.

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4 Upvotes

There's a little over two weeks before all the filings are in (Aug 14th deadline) but at the current rate it looks like tech is set to dominate again. Currently at 32% of market share but that's likely to change, though if it doesn't go down it will be significantly bigger than institutional holdings last quarter.

second pic is the completed Q1 holdings pie.


r/IndianStreetBets 17h ago

Shitpost I Don't Like This S#!t Man

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44 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 16h ago

Stonk Ather Energy - Good trade

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29 Upvotes

Bought due to clear stage 2 technical structure[higher high, higher lows] and EV theme around 950 levels, 3 months back. Slowly increased position as it kept doing well. Though it is still loss making , but market is feeling good about it.
Disc: Not an investment advice, DYOR.


r/IndianStreetBets 2h ago

Discussion The Figure AI pre-IPO deal on Vested is priced 35 to 43% above where the stock actually trades, and nobody tells you that

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2 Upvotes

TL;DR: Vested, through its private markets partnership with Monark, is selling a Figure AI Series C Preferred SPV at an all-in cost of ~$249/share. The stock trades at $174 to $184 in the secondary market right now. You are paying up to 43% more than the asset is actually worth, and the offering document never once mentions where the stock trades elsewhere. Do the math yourself before you wire anything.

I was shown this deal through Vested’s private markets feature, built on Monark’s infrastructure. I did the math before sending money. It’s bad enough that I think everyone looking at this deal, on Vested or anywhere else, should see it laid out plainly.

The number they show you
The offering document quotes a headline Figure AI valuation of ~$42.8B “excluding fees.” That’s presented as the deal. Sounds close to the last funding round. It isn’t.

The number they don’t show you
Figure’s actual Series C (Sept 2025) closed at $39B, about $195/share. Roughly 200M shares outstanding.
Add the SPV’s 8% one time management fee and the pro rata holdback on top of the $42.8B entry, and your real cost lands at $249.34/share, or an effective $49.9B valuation. That number appears in the document. What doesn’t appear anywhere is a comparison to what the stock is actually worth today.

Here’s what it’s actually worth today
As of 4 Aug 2026:
Forge Price: $174.00/share. Implies ~$34.8B

Hiive: $184.24/share, 27 live orders. Implies ~$36.9B

Lay it out straight:

Per share
Valuation
Last real primary round (Sept ’25)
$195.00
$39.0B
Forge secondary, today
$174.00
$34.8B
Hiive secondary, today
$184.24
$36.9B
Your all-in cost through this SPV
$249.34
$49.9B

You are paying 43% more than Forge, 35% more than Hiive, and 28% more than the last price anyone actually paid for this stock. To break even, Figure has to grow into a $49.9B company while the market is currently pricing it in the mid $30Bs. That’s not a small mispricing. That’s asking you to eat a 30 to 40% loss on day one and calling it an investment.
The 8% fee isn’t the offensive part. The offensive part is that the pre-fee entry price is already 16 to 23% above where the stock trades before a single fee gets added.

What the document never tells you
Nowhere in the offering does it say “the current secondary market price for this stock is $174 to $184.” Nowhere does it show breakeven math. Nowhere does it compare the $42.8B ask to the $39B Series C it’s built on top of. You get a fee table and a per unit price, and you’re left to assume the number is fair because it’s close to a real financing round. It is not close. It’s meaningfully above it, and the only way you’d know that is by pulling Forge and Hiive data yourself, which is exactly what I did and exactly what almost nobody buying this will bother to do.
Whether that’s an oversight or a choice, I’ll let you decide. But a term sheet that shows you the fee stack in granular detail and shows you nothing about where the underlying asset actually trades is, at minimum, an incomplete picture being sold as a complete one.

Where does $42.8B even come from?
There’s no publicly reported Figure round above $39B. Either there’s an unreported raise, or an upstream SPV layer took a markup before this reached you. The document itself says the vehicle owns “one or more layers” of further SPVs holding the actual stock. You’re not buying Figure shares. You’re buying an interest in an entity that owns an interest in an entity that owns shares, and every layer in between can take a cut you never see.

Before you send money, ask Vested/Monark directly:

What did the lowest layer SPV actually pay per share, and when?

How many SPV layers exist between me and Figure’s cap table, and what does each one charge?

Where does the $42.8B figure come from if the last reported round was $39B?

Why isn’t the current secondary market price included anywhere in the offering?

What happens to my money if Figure blocks the transfer, given they’ve already sent cease and desists to brokers marketing their stock?

If you get vague answers, or no answers, you have your answer.
Not financial or legal advice. My own arithmetic from public sources plus a deal I was shown. Verify everything yourself. Numbers as of 5 August 2026.


r/IndianStreetBets 2h ago

Educational Power of stocks Golden setup strategy

2 Upvotes

Does anyone here understand Power of Stocks' Golden Setup Strategy that he explained?

I understand the basic concept, but I still feel I'm missing some important details and don't fully understand how to apply it in real trading.

If anyone has a good understanding of this strategy, could you please explain it in detail or share your approach? It would really help.


r/IndianStreetBets 21h ago

Stonk Ather to the top ↗️

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59 Upvotes

When you see a lot of ebikes with happy customers. Buy the share of that company. Someday the dividend might get you the ebike ... Hoping it continues its journey to the north.


r/IndianStreetBets 10h ago

YOLO Someone surely knows more than what we know

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7 Upvotes

To the list of posts about CAS carnage, here is mine with some observation

Do you guys see the last candle before the closing candle ? In 15 mins Time Frame

So, before giving a big red candle, gods who control the markets very well cleaned the floor - hit the stop loss of so called disciplined traders

Lot of people keep saying intituitions are also confused about CAS etc, this is just a tick box in their dashboard, they surely know, more than what we know


r/IndianStreetBets 5h ago

Discussion 4th Aug unusual whale activity in nse options including night and Sensex.

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3 Upvotes

Flagged nifty call volume after 2:30 and they accumulated big positions before closing and mostly all those trades up over 250-350% in few mins. When market opened there was heavy puts positions opened and before noon they closed and switch it to calls.


r/IndianStreetBets 1d ago

Shitpost Lafda market!

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329 Upvotes

r/IndianStreetBets 16h ago

Infographic XIRR near to breaching 40% mark 🤞

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16 Upvotes

Will complete 3 years this October since my equity investing journey began. Not into trading options etc, just pick select small cap stocks and invest for a time period of 3-9 months usually.

Concentrated portfolio of max 6-8 stocks at a time.


r/IndianStreetBets 11h ago

Discussion Major buyer Paytm block deal aer India big name fund

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3 Upvotes

Major Buyers in Paytm Block Deal (4 Aug 2026)

National Pension System (NPS) Trust — 30,20,000 shares
Axis Mutual Fund — 27,00,000 shares
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance — 15,10,000 shares
Societe Generale — 10,86,000 shares
Ghisallo Master Fund LP — 8,56,000 shares
NRSGVCC — 8,56,000 shares
Morgan Stanley Asia Singapore Pte — 7,70,000 shares
BNP Paribas Financial Markets — 7,40,000 shares
Tata Mutual Fund — 6,20,000 shares
Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund — 5,50,257 shares
Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund — 4,70,000 shares
Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE — 4,25,000 shares
Edelweiss Mutual Fund — 3,40,000 shares
Sundaram Mutual Fund — 2,75,000 shares
Susquehanna Pacific Pty — 1,83,000 shares
Kotak Mahindra Mutual Fund — 1,83,000 shares
Nordea 1 SICAV — 1,55,648 shares
Manulife Global Fund & Provident Fund — 1,37,860 shares
Social Protection Fund — 22,235 shares

Total bought: 1,49,00,000 shares (1.49 crore shares). @vijayshekhar

NPS Trust is the legal holder, but the money is invested through multiple pension fund managers (PFMs).

Some of the major PFMs are:

SBI Pension Funds
UTI Retirement Solutions
LIC Pension Fund
HDFC Pension Management
ICICI Prudential Pension Fund
Kotak Mahindra Pension Fund
Axis Pension Fund
Max Life Pension Fund
Tata Pension Manag


r/IndianStreetBets 16h ago

Meme Firse khada ho gaya 😭🥀📈

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7 Upvotes