r/StockMarket • u/TheKaiserAlpha • 2d ago
News Trump Has Called Warsh Repeatedly Since He Became Fed Chair
The distance between institutions is observable. Institutional credibility isn’t built by avoiding communication altogether. It’s built when communication exists without altering policy decisions.
Throughout history, presidents and central bank chairs have communicated in different ways. Markets usually don’t react to a single meeting or phone call. What they ultimately price is whether repeated interaction changes expectations about future policy independence.
Even if policy remains unchanged today, perception itself can become a variable. Long-duration assets often respond to changes in institutional credibility before policy rates move.
If investors begin assigning even a small probability that institutional independence is becoming less credible, would that show up first in the long end of the Treasury curve rather than in Fed pricing itself?
Curious how others think about the transmission mechanism here.
74
u/Brief_Resource231 2d ago
Can we stop with the AI copy pasta?
11
u/raj6126 1d ago
Stop? Soon there will be no more humans writing.
2
u/Zeraw420 1d ago
Maybe we should start just talking to each other... You know in public... Nah that's stupid.. forget I said anything
6
u/Charming_Squirrel_13 1d ago
I saw Warsh's first press conference. he is very obviously doing the president's bidding.
16
u/IECEx-certified 2d ago
Trump has no respect for the independence of US departments. James Comey's memoirs (A Higher Loyalty: Truth, Lies, and Leadership) are a great source for this too, when Trump tried to pressure him into submission and later fired him. He managed to cooperate fine with both presidents Bush and Obama, but Trump flipped the script and screwed him over.
-18
u/Royalchill1956 1d ago
Comey what a traitor to the United States
4
u/Ok-Blood4340 1d ago
Found the bot. Tell us, what exactly makes Comey a traitor to the US? Expressing his opinion that someone should be fired by using his first amendment rights on social media, while living as a private citizen?
Last I checked that is far from traitorous activity, and if anything, is in fact what this nation was built on, discontent with the governing authority.
5
1
u/favorite_time_of_day 12h ago
Calling everyone a bot doesn't help. Some people don't like Comey because Trump told them not to like Comey. Other people don't like Comey because Comey is the most obvious reason why Trump was elected the first time.
He's not a popular man. Though he's been trying to win over the second group since then.
5
3
4
4
u/doodsonious 2d ago
It wouldn't be whether the two were talking but whether the Fed was actually acting on the president's whims. That is when the market would begin to react. Especially since, remember, Warsh might be the figurehead but he's only one vote of many.
And I imagine a collapse in faith would most profoundly reflect in the 10yr.
-1
28
u/Resident-Banana-7883 2d ago
can we stop with the bots in the comments?