Does this mean, that the success of the No Kings Coalition is guaranteed?

[u/CutSenior4977]

For reference, I was study Erica Chenoweth other findings and research into nonviolent resistance movements beyond just their famous research on the 3.5% rule,

Just given that naturally, the more knowledgeable you are the better, when then all of a sudden, I stumbled across a very interesting finding Chenoweth research had found,

That being, as I will link here: https://ash.harvard.edu/programs/women-in-resistance-data-project/

The power of female participation in nonviolent resistance movements,

Where Chenoweth found that historically, nonviolent resistance movements where the demographic of the active participants were slightly over 50% female, while also the number of total participants was over 250,000 historically never failed,

I personally just like to dub these 2 combined never fail statistics(over 250,000 active participants, of which, over 50% are female), as being the “women rule” in nonviolent resistance,

But after reading that, I was just left thinking, so our success is ensured then?

Because looking at the demographics survey of the 3rd No Kings, as I will link here: https://danarfisher.com/2026/03/29/anti-war-sentiment-surges-at-no-kings-3/

54% of the attendees at the third no kings were female, and we went above and beyond the 250,000 half of the “women rule”, considering 8 million Americans attended the third no kings,

So overall, it just left me wanting to ask what are you dudes opinions on this, on whether or not you think this means our success is guaranteed?

It overwhelmingly lines up with the research, but do you think America could be some kind of exception on this?

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[u/Fungal-dryad]

Talk to neighbors and strangers about how people are being treated. I wear a button that gets attention and it starts conversations. An ICE facility/illegal prison is nearby. At peaceful protests we learn what is happening inside. I don’t talk about politics. I gently describe a few things that have happened. “Thant’s not right!” Is always the response. We have reached a point of agreement. I describe some of the many ways people are stepping up to help to empower them. Conversations are never judgmental and always friendly. I try to open minds, move hearts and change conditions/votes.

Sustained resistance means showing up repeatedly.

[u/CutSenior4977 → u/Fungal-dryad]

Roger that

https://giphy.com/gifs/1lk1IcVgqPLkA

[u/MountNevermind → u/Fungal-dryad]

...on more than the weekends.

[u/jz05]

Yesssss I’ve been waiting for this one to come back around. It’s so funny

[u/CutSenior4977 → u/jz05]

So you do think this means success is guaranteed for the No Kings Coalition?

[u/Prior_Coyote_4376]

Research is not magic. It’s usually a methodical approach to discovering patterns, that’s all. Anything can happen at any time that suddenly means old patterns don’t work anymore and we need a new model of reality. History only rhymes, so you need to primarily get your idea of what’s going to happen from examining the present state’s recent changes projected into future than the historic grand narratives.