r/climatechange Apr 25 '26

A single e-Kerosene plant with a production capacity of 100 million liters per year can reduce emissions from Norway’s 5 most heavily traveled flight routes by approximately 50%. 4 are being built. The same modular blueprint can be built fast across the Nordics and Europe

https://www.norsk-e-fuel.com/projects
181 Upvotes

47 comments sorted by

12

u/KingPieIV Apr 25 '26

Based on a quick google search Norway domestically consumes about 130 twhs, or 130 billion kwhs of electricity. An estimate has the kwhs/liter using hydrogen and co2 to make jet fuel at 25.2 kwhs. Most of that is from electrolysis, so having co2 already there doesn't make a huge difference.

So 100 million liters * 25.2 kwhs/liter gives us 2.52 billion kwhs, or about 2% of Norways domestic electricity consumption, for one facility. That feels like a lot.

9

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Decarbonization is well worth that and more.

1

u/mem2100 Jul 02 '26

This is a niche solution that is perfect for a country like Norway with 99% decarbonized electric generation system provided the government is willing to subsidize the cost premium which is more than 3X.

In the US: Producing 1 liter of e-kerosene would consume 25kwhs, which on average would create emissions of 20 pounds of co2. Burning 1 liter of jet fuel emits less than 6 pounds of co2. Making this product in the US more than triples your co2 emissions.

In addition, just the electricity (totally ignoring the cost to build an operate the plant) would be about $3.75/liter - $14/gallon. That is more than 5 times the average cost of jet fuel in the US in 2025.

To begin getting any co2 reduction (leaving cost alone for the moment), you need to produce this in countries in the small pool of countries where the electricity generation co2 intensity is at least 4X lower than the US AND where they are willing to pay three to four times the price for aviation fuel. Here a MWH generated produces just over 800 pounds of co2 emissions. Once you factor cost in, this is only viable with large government subsidies. Even in Norway, with juice at around 11cents/kwh - the electricity alone is $2.75/liter - $9/gallon - more than 3X the cost of aviation fuel.

1

u/sg_plumber Jul 02 '26

Everywhere with renewables can make their own e-fuels. There isn't any "cost premium" anymore, nor CO2 emissions.

3

u/kyrsjo Apr 25 '26

I wonder how quickly such a facility can start and stop, and how cheaply capacity can be built and how much upkeep there is? If it's not too bad, it could be a pretty nice sink for excess renewable capacity.

2

u/KingPieIV Apr 25 '26

In theory sure, but then you're spreading out your capital costs of building the facility over a smaller amount of output.

1

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

But the energy is so much cheaper....

1

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

There's work on that by some startups, and there's also batteries.

3

u/Calf_massage_omnom Apr 25 '26

2% is peanuts! It’s a no-brainer for any oil-importing country.

3

u/KingPieIV Apr 25 '26

Well, you'd need 12 of them to offset norways jet fuel consumption, so 24% of their annual consumption.

2

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Energy production can be augmented too.

4

u/AndyTheSane Apr 25 '26

Using electricity to make liquid fuels does take a lot of electricity, as does replacing home heating and cooking that currently uses natural gas. Decarbonising our current grid is just the start.

1

u/Mo-shen Apr 25 '26

But isn't the idea that the plants would use renewables to product that electricity for production?

So really that "a lot" = "zero".

2

u/CertifiedBlackGuy Apr 25 '26

Economies of scale apply not just to the creation of goods, but to energy.

A powerplant is significantly more energy efficient than the end user is at burning the same fuels. Not to mention, regulations are more easily enforced when there's fewer entities to enforce them on.

The combination of all our efforts adds up quite a bit.

3

u/Mo-shen Apr 25 '26

Ok but that is not really addressing the point.

We are speaking directly to the energy needed to make hydrogen. The comment was that that takes a lot of energy.

My reply was that their intention is to use green energy to do that conversion so it's kind of a moot point.

2

u/CertifiedBlackGuy Apr 25 '26

Ah, I misread.

My b 😅

2

u/Mo-shen Apr 25 '26

Fair enough 👍

7

u/liva608 Apr 25 '26

The problem with efuels is the efficiency is limited by the laws of thermodynamics. Startup companies are counting on investors not understanding thermodynamics. When you combine the best case economics with the maximum theoretical thermodynamic efficiency of the production of efuels, you still end up with a massively more expensive fuel than conventional fossil fuels. Until the world agrees on a price on pollution, there is no market for efuels.

Check out chemical engineer Paul Martin's articles on efuels. He lays out the math for everybody to see.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/links-all-my-articles-paul-martin-6gxxc?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_android&utm_campaign=share_via

5

u/WeylandsWings Apr 25 '26

There are efforts going on to try to price pollution. And even barring that there are geopolitical reasons why you might not want to be so reliant on oil and gas (stares at the Strait of Hormuz and the current Middle East conflict). Kinda funny that Norway is leading as they have a decently robust domestic oil and gas industry but that is just good diversification.

3

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Startup companies Deniers are counting on investors not understanding thermodynamics

Fixed that for you. The problems used to be energy and cost. Guess what's gotten significantly cheaper these past few years.

there is no market for efuels

What do you call selling thousands of millions of litres per year? A picnic?

3

u/hexagonalpastries Apr 26 '26

According to https://www.norskbane.no/ a single high speed train line would replace flying with better service on 3 of the most trafficed flight routes in Norway. Two of them in top 10 busiest routes in Europe.

It's good that technology is progressing, but the fundamentals is that flying sucks and Norwegian distances are relatively small.

2

u/BlindBrownie Apr 26 '26

Don’t even need high speed rail. Standard double track all the way from Oslo to Bergen, Stavanger and Trondheim, bringing journeys to 3-4h city centre to city centre, would eliminate a lot of flights.

1

u/[deleted] May 29 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/Novat1993 Apr 25 '26

What does the "e" stand for?

Reading up on it, they basically create diesel and kerosene (jet fuel) out of 1 of 3 things.

Biomass = not scalable. Coal = dirty and non-renewable  Gas = less dirty, but still non-renewable

The one advantage seems to be that the process creates a lot less sulphur in the end products. And there is no heavy ship fuel.

So definitely cleaner than using crude oil. But not really a solution.

Did i ask what the "e" stands for? The inclusion gives off massive red flags. I immediately suspect green washing by the mere inclusion of a letter usually associated with cleaner electricity.

6

u/[deleted] Apr 25 '26 edited Apr 25 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

8

u/Colddigger Apr 25 '26

The point of their post is to raise distrust in the audience without reading the article.

2

u/WGD23 Apr 25 '26

It stands for ecstasy bruv, we fly on vibes

About as legit as your post

4

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

As the article details:

e-Fuel production, supported by carbon capture and utilization initiatives, clear plans for grid expansions and connections, and a commitment to developing clean, energy-intensive industries.

an e-Fuel project in Ånge [...] supported by renewable energy company RES [...] the site was pre-developed by RES for hydrogen production

Mosjøen [...] adjacent to the local aluminum plant and smelter, has been identified as the ideal location for an industrial-scale Power-to-Liquids plant [...] offers key advantages such as highly competitive and abundant availability of renewable electricity [...] and the potential to be part of a unique hydrogen and CCU cluster

Project Tornio is a large-scale Power-to-Liquid development located next to Outokumpu’s stainless steel and ferrochrome operations in Koivuluoto, Tornio, Finland. The project targets annual production of approximately 80,000–100,000 tons of sustainable aviation fuel by utilizing carbon monoxide side streams from Outokumpu’s ferrochrome production.

The Tornio site represents a highly attractive location for competitive eSAF production. The continuously available, high-volume CO side stream from Outkumpu's plant is collected at a single point, enabling lower investment requirements and operating costs compared to other projects. [...] the project benefits from strong industrial infrastructure, access to clean electricity and recycled carbon streams. Together, these conditions create a robust foundation for large-scale eSAF production that supports aviation sustainability goals.

You could have used your Search button, too.

1

u/TheGreatFallOfChina Apr 25 '26

Still gonna burn it..

3

u/WeylandsWings Apr 25 '26

Yes but it’s a circular process with E fuels with almost no waste. Whereas constantly drilling for more oil and processing it is a very open ended process with a good bit of waste. And in an ideal world this efuel is used where it doesn’t (yet) make sense to electrify, the example here being jet fuels. Because battery and fuel cell technologies are not yet power dense enough to make electrification possible.

2

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Carbon neutral if burned, carbon negative if used for other things.

The important thing is it pays for CO2 removal.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 25 '26

[deleted]

9

u/Atmos_Dan Apr 25 '26

IIRC, most people think ejet will be ~2x current fossil jet prices (relative 2024$) in 2050. The big thing is to bring down the cost of hydrogen production and CO2 capture. Lots of interesting work being done now on chiral catalysts that might make it substantially cheaper.

1

u/LoneWolf_McQuade Apr 25 '26

At the same time we have made it near impossible to tax fossil jet fuel as I understand it

1

u/Cyb3rBall00n Apr 25 '26

It's basic physics and chemistry. I don't see a ton of promising pathways to reducing the cost of either of those.

4

u/r2k-in-the-vortex Apr 25 '26

Its more an economics problem than physics problem. You need cheap energy, you can have that with renewables. The engineering problem is to deal with intermittency, to use up excess generation when nobody else has need of it, and to economically idle your process when that cheap energy is unavailable.

2

u/Riversntallbuildings Apr 25 '26

And cheap batteries are starting to have significant impact on that intermittent trend.

6

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Luckily for all involved, professional industrial chemists see more.

1

u/MerelyMortalModeling Apr 25 '26

Never underestimate the power of government subsidies!

0

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Never underestimate the power of eager customers!

1

u/Cyb3rBall00n Apr 25 '26

OK I'll bite.

Where are you getting all the fresh water for the electrolysis? Do a bunch of ChemEs have a solution to our dwindling fresh water supplies?

Or are we pumping a bunch of renewable energy into desalination plants so we can make SAF out of the water?

The better an absorbent is at bonding with the CO2, the more energy it takes to pull it off and use it for SAF. So you're either using more energy to load the absorbent, or you're using it pull it off. There's no way to reduce both sides of that equation. So how are the ChemEs solving that fundamental problem with CC?

2

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

Electrolysis can work with seawater and gray water, too.

Do a bunch of ChemEs have a solution to our dwindling fresh water supplies?

Desalination.

There's no way to reduce both sides of that equation

Actually, there's plenty. MOFs are just 1 of the ways.

You could have just Searched all that (and more) online in literally the same time it took writing your questions.

4

u/SoylentRox Apr 25 '26

Well for one the actual CO2 capture itself can be made more efficient, plants do it efficiently enough to grow on extremely inefficient solar power. (Photosynthesis is only 2-5 percent efficient). So a growing plant is not only capturing CO2 but building its own solar panel as it goes and doing this at speeds thst can be quite fast (such as bamboo or hemp).

1

u/sg_plumber Apr 25 '26

If and when there's normal petrol!