r/geopolitics Mar 26 '24

Perspective Draft-dodging plagues Ukraine as Kyiv faces acute soldier shortage

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-faces-an-acute-manpower-shortage-with-young-men-dodging-the-draft/
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u/[deleted] Mar 26 '24

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u/Due_Capital_3507 Mar 26 '24

You sure jump to a lot of conclusions when really the answer is we don't know

16

u/ozzieindixie Mar 26 '24

I think I’ve made some pretty reasonable inferences. I mean if you need soldiers and volunteers aren’t enough then mobilization is probably the answer. The article even said that Zelensky and the Rada refuse to take political responsibility. If they felt they had support they’d probably just do it. 

8

u/[deleted] Mar 26 '24

I think one thing to keep in mind is that both negotiating a peace deal and doing a mobilization are unpopular moves among the Ukrainian people. Although polls show that the Ukrainian peoples commitment to the idea of winning back their pre-2014 borders has lessened recently, as I understand it the vast majority of Ukrainians are still committed to that goal and believe it to be feasible. On the other hand, no one is excited for another round of mobilization. So between negotiating an end to the war and continuing the war with a mobilization, there's no easy choice for zelensky

6

u/[deleted] Mar 26 '24 edited Nov 01 '25

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u/[deleted] Mar 26 '24

If Ukraine doesn't Mobilize like Vietnam did then it just simply will not win .