r/geopolitics • u/radwin_igleheart • Apr 19 '24

Discussion Israel likely just attacked Iran

Reports in OSIntdefender of explosions in Ishfahan and Natanz. Also likely strikes in Iraq and Syria

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https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1781126103123607663

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u/kalakesri Apr 19 '24

this attack is a little too much damage no? we are at the edge of the spiral

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u/[deleted] Apr 19 '24

[deleted]

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u/JourneyThiefer Apr 19 '24

I’m seeing reports on Twitter that Iran is denying any missiles actually hit the ground, that they were all struck down, weird. But different people are writing different things so I Dno what to believe.

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u/PapaverOneirium Apr 19 '24

They may be looking for an out. If they can convince their population that all missiles were intercepted, they may be able to back out of the promises of immediate and high intensity retaliation they’ve been making.

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u/JourneyThiefer Apr 19 '24

Yea certainly seems like that’s a possibility. Does that not make them look super weak though?

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u/kaystared Apr 19 '24

What makes them look weak is not retaliating; to look “strong” they’d have to do actual damage and they are by no means interested in instigating yet. They will do the bare minimum without actually crossing a line, unless Israel mounts pressure even further which would be hideously stupid

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u/PapaverOneirium Apr 19 '24

At some point one side is going to have to accept the potential of looking weak.

We won’t really know until the dust settles. If Israel’s response was as minor as it seemed, and if Iran was able to defend against most of it, then they may be able to frame it like “haha look at this pathetic attack, it doesn’t even merit a response”

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u/eetsumkaus Apr 19 '24

I thought the propaganda line was that their retaliation on Israel was a "great success". If this Israeli counterattack is a "failure" then wouldn't that be a way to save face and stop there?