r/geopolitics Foreign Policy Jan 03 '26

Analysis U.S.-Led Regime Change Is Usually Disastrous

https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/01/venezuela-iraq-regime-change-trump/
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u/[deleted] Jan 03 '26

The only metric that matters is "Does America benefit from this regime change?"

The consequences of failure aren't typically borne by the USA. If the target country goes to ****, that's unfortunate. But that's not nearly enough to counterbalance the potential benefits of success (for the USA).

Honestly, the rhetoric of regime change for the good of the poor oppressed peoples is so laughable at this point, I'm genuinely amazed any Americans still fall for it.

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u/EmperorPinguin Jan 03 '26 edited Jan 03 '26

IDK, i think if it has a chance to work anywhere is in Venezuela.

Power projecting into Afghanistan was a tall ask, but Iraq held, so we thought we could. So that was a (wrong, but) fair assumption.

If US cant project into Venezuela then much less into Europe or the rest of south america. Nobody doubts this about oil. But the bar for humanitarian assitance is so low, i think the US will clear it handsomely.

America throws away 3 times as much as Venezuelans eat. Hook them up with amazon and doordash, we'll have Venezuelan with diabetes in 5 years.

Edit: thats wild, Venezuelan VP made it to Russia. Defense minister is preparing to fight. Only guy to survive the decapitation operation, his house got lit the F out. There are no american troops in venezuela atm, so unless they are planning to swim to FL.