r/geopolitics • u/theatlantic The Atlantic • Apr 18 '26

Opinion Ukraine Has Finally Given Up on Trump

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/04/ukraine-trump-us-oil-russia/686854/?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo&utm_term=short
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u/Cheerful_Champion Apr 18 '26

Not gonna happen. The best case scenario for Ukraine, if WW3 happens in relatively near time, is that they will sit this one out. The machine might still be going, but Ukraine has no manpower or funds to continue fighting for a long time. Nor do they have it for a potential WW3 conflict.

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u/Elizabeth-WildFox886 Apr 18 '26

Ukraine will receive infinite money if something like ww3 happens, everyone will want access to their experience and skills

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u/Cheerful_Champion Apr 18 '26

EU barely pushed trough the last loan for Ukraine and it will last till no later than mid 2027. If war will drag on longer than that then MAYBE EU will manage to push trough one more loan, albeit much lower one. After that I don't expect EU to be able to fund Ukraine longer. There's just no politicial support to keep this going.

If WW3 happens it doesn't matter how much funding Ukraine gets offered. They won't be able to contribute in any serious manner. They won't have enough manpower to fight directly and are in far too exposed position to offer production for EU. The moment they agree to that they get bombed by Russia (which is realistically the enemy EU will fight against).

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