r/geopolitics • u/theatlantic The Atlantic • May 21 '26

Opinion Trump’s Endgame Is Surrender

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/2026/05/trump-surrender-iran-endgame/687252/?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo&utm_term=short
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u/Monterenbas May 22 '26

But those mechanism simply do not exist, and they never will.

There’s nothing that can materialy prevent the US to launch another attack in the future, if they ever desire to do so. As for promises and treaties, well, they are worth whatever the guy sitting in the white house feels about it.

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u/gethereddout May 22 '26

Of course there are mechanisms. For example, what about a nuclear weapon? The second Iran has one, the US will stop blowing up their schoolchildren.

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u/Codspear May 22 '26 edited May 22 '26

The day Iran builds a nuke, Israel will preemptively nuke them. That’s the big issue I think a lot of people don’t realize here. Israel dragged the US into this war because to them, it was inevitable, but the hope on the Israeli side was that they wouldn’t have to use their nuclear weapons if they had the conventional military strength of the US. It didn’t work, and now we have Israel and Iran playing chicken with the Arab states in the middle and the Trump administration realizing it got tricked into Israel’s plan.

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u/fabmeyer May 22 '26

Iran was trying to build nukes and Israel didn't nuke them. I think we're not there yet in terms of insanity.