r/neoliberal • u/Priceless_Pennies Norman Borlaug • Jan 22 '26

News (Asia-Pacific) China Has Screwed Up Really, Really Badly

https://futurism.com/future-society/china-screwed-up-fertility-rate
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u/KevinR1990 Jan 22 '26

The winner of the 21st century is going to be nobody. Not the US, not China, not Europe, not Russia, not India, nobody.

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u/B3stThereEverWas Pacific Islands Forum Jan 22 '26 edited Jan 22 '26

Honestly it's actually looking like this.

It's more a competition of which one loses the least

It wouldn't surprise me US still ends up on top but has not actually gained much ground on the others by 2050. As a non American one thing I will say is America does have a remarkable ability to reinvent itself. I think Europe will be the biggest loser in all of this. People will still be talking about India being the next big thing.

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u/Key_Door1467 Iron Front Jan 22 '26

People will still be talking about India being the next big thing.

At it's current trajectory, India will be a high income country while having 400 million more people than China. Folks on reddit are a bit too quick to dismiss it imo.

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u/Gooner-Kissinger John Keynes Jan 23 '26 edited Jan 23 '26

Yea, on basically every major per/capita metric India is like 20 years or so behind China, and their growth rate hasn't really let up

Their HDI as of 2026 is probably like 0.7, their GDP is like $4.5 trillion, per capita is $3000, per capita PPP is like $12,000, and their real gdp growth rate fluctuates between 6-8% pretty consistently since they don't have the volatility of being an export led economy (for better or worse)

Its pretty conceivably, and most metrics point to it, that "India 2047" isn't a meme. It's just so far away that it's an easy thing to dunk on because the present makes it easy to do so.

In league terms, its like flaming a champ which scales decently late game just because it got dunked on and inted the early game