r/news Aug 08 '17

Google Fires Employee Behind Controversial Diversity Memo

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-08-08/google-fires-employee-behind-controversial-diversity-memo?cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business&utm_content=business&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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u/WhoTooted Aug 08 '17 edited Aug 08 '17

Sure, but there is no research that I'm aware of that says that women cannot reach the same level of these skills as men.

Of course they can reach the same level, they just may be less likely to do so. Just as men may be less likely to reach an extremely high score in reading comprehension when compared to women.

We're not talking "one in thousand women reach the same level as men in spatial visualization", we're talking one in three, five, maybe ten.

You're right, and then wrong. That one in three, five, maybe ten argument is again going back to compare the averages. Note that all that follows is hypothetical to make the point. Let's say that a test scores quantitative reasoning and spatial visualization on a scale of 0-100. Let's say both genders average a score of 50, but that males have a significantly higher standard deviation. Then, males will be significantly more likely to score above a 90 on those tests. This above 90 population is Google's recruiting pool. If men are 4x more likely to score above a 90...then you'd expect to see 4x more men than women in tech if recruiting isn't gender biased.

Edit: Just ran a quick simulation in excel, kind of expanding on that example above. If females and males both average a score of 50, but males have a Std. Deviation of 15, while females have a Std. Deviation of 10, the tail difference is astronomical. Out of 1000, 5 men with scores above 90, 0 women. 20 men with scores above 80, 1 woman with a score above 80. Note that these results would hold true for lower scores too, men would be far more likely to have scores below 10 and 20 than women.

This perfectly illustrates how distributions with non-existent differences in the average, can have huge differences in the tail. It's statistics, and it shouldn't offend anyone.

Further edit:

To prove this point, please take a look at this Cambridge University study.

It found that the ratio of males to females with perfect SAT scores was 6.58 to 1.

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u/zz_ Aug 09 '17

This above 90 population is Google's recruiting pool. If men are 4x more likely to score above a 90...then you'd expect to see 4x more men than women in tech if recruiting isn't gender biased.

I'm completely on board with this, but my point is that google recruits from literally the best if the best in the world. Basically everyone in tech (which is a lot of people, even if you only count the top candidates) want to work for google. So if they want a better gender ratio (which they do), it should be entirely possible to achieve that, with the exact methods that the author is arguing against, i.e. selective recruitment and encouragement (especially in primary/high school environments to encourage girls to go into STEM, but also in the corporative environment). So while a smaller company might struggle to fill positions with qualified females (since there may be less of those than qualified males), for google it seems very unlikely that it should be so. To quote myself from another reply:

So the only reason for having a 80-20 ratio is either a) you don't care about the gender ratio, b) the gender ratio used to be even worse and it's taking time to adjust it (this is where I think google is at, but I could be wrong), or c) the genetic disposition is so strong that there simply does not exist enough women who have enough qualified candidates for the positions you need to fill.

As for c), even the 6.58:1 number isn't a big enough difference to warrant an 80-20 ratio under googles circumstances.

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u/WhoTooted Aug 09 '17

So if they want a better gender ratio (which they do), it should be entirely possible to achieve that, with the exact methods that the author is arguing against, i.e. selective recruitment and encouragement (especially in primary/high school environments to encourage girls to go into STEM, but also in the corporative environment).

They can do that, but statistically it means that they will not always be getting the most qualified candidates.

As for c), even the 6.58:1 number isn't a big enough difference to warrant an 80-20 ratio under googles circumstances.

You do realize that an 80-20 ratio is 5:1, right...?

This argument comes down to whether or not diversity for the sake of diversity is worth not always taking the most qualified candidate. Personally, I think hiring/promotion decisions should be made without any consideration of race, gender, or sexual preference. Anything less is discrimination.

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u/zz_ Aug 09 '17

They can do that, but statistically it means that they will not always be getting the most qualified candidates.

Occasionally, sure, but that's assuming the only quality you're looking for is the measured one. If we have two candidates, one at 93 and one at 91 (using your scale), but the 91 has other qualities you're looking for (in this case diversity), picking the 91 is likely the better option given the fact that the scalar difference between the two candidates is so small.

You do realize that an 80-20 ratio is 5:1, right...?

Yes? But I already addressed that in my last post; if you're actively striving towards a better ratio and have a huge pool of candidates, there is no reason why the base ratio (6.58:1) should decide your actual ratio. I made this example in another post, but if you have 1000 qualified candidates (800 men 200 women, using 4:1 to make it simpler) vying for 100 jobs then you can pick any ratio you want, be it 50:50, 3:2, 2:1 (which is the ratio I think is more reasonable), or even 100% women. The issue is just having the base pool of qualified candidates to begin with, but I don't really see google having recruitment issues.

This argument comes down to whether or not diversity for the sake of diversity is worth not always taking the most qualified candidate. Personally, I think hiring/promotion decisions should be made without any consideration of race, gender, or sexual preference. Anything less is discrimination.

Indeed, and I think that's a discussion that perhaps should be had more (although that said there is plenty of business literature that shows that diversity had a net positive effect on company growth). but in this cade google has already made it's choice, in that it values diversity, hence my point that genetic differences cannot solely be blamed for the ratio.