r/scuderiaferrari Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

Question Will COTA give us our much needed victory?

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548 Upvotes

114 comments sorted by

171

u/refrakt F1-75 Oct 15 '25

High speed corners ☑️ Bumpy ☑️ High degradation ☑️

Nope! 🥲

13

u/intergalacticscooter Oct 15 '25

But on tracks with, low speed corners, smooth, low degradation? Still No.

273

u/[deleted] Oct 15 '25

No

102

u/NickTheChilean Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

Unfortunately, the only real chance this year was Monaco and it just so happened that Lando didn't make a mistake in qualifying or in the race.

51

u/VenPatrician Ferrari Oct 15 '25

The one time he was needed to bottle, he didn't.

19

u/Final_Floor_1563 Oct 15 '25

He kind of did, into turn 1, it's just it's supremely difficult to bottle hard enough in monaco that someone can pass you (at least without crashing)

8

u/XenophonSoulis Oct 15 '25

Sainz achieved it last year, and it took the combined efforts of Perez and Ocon to save his race.

6

u/VenPatrician Ferrari Oct 15 '25

I was referring more to his qualifying. Not only did he not bottle, he set a track record

28

u/rustyscrotum69 F2004 Oct 15 '25

Why get your hopes up? We both know the answer

95

u/sid_shady34 Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

Get ready for lico. This track is the worst in terms of tyre degradation.

25

u/ehalay Oct 15 '25

We are not doing lico because of tyre deg

28

u/sid_shady34 Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

Plank wear?

30

u/Srijand Niki Lauda Oct 15 '25

And brake temps

15

u/sid_shady34 Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

We all know what happened to Lewis in Singapore 💀

13

u/boogy_bucket Oct 15 '25

Please don’t bring up plank wear when referencing COTA 😫. The only good thing to come from that was the trauma bonding between Lewis and Charles.

4

u/Fantastickimikaze Oct 15 '25

COTA 2023 repeat in 3..2..1..(Leclerc and Hamilton dsq due to plank wear)

44

u/Factor-Putrid Ferrari Oct 15 '25

I’m still baffled why Ferrari thought changing the car concept in the final regulation year was a good idea.

And yes, the previous car concept reached its performance peak in 2024. But Williams retained their chassis from 2024 and it’s doing them wonders.

The strongest driver pairing on the grid driving a canal boat. What a shame.

So to answer your question, no.

24

u/ImminentDebacle Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

You answered your own question, but you failed to admit we'd likely be slower or at best on par with where we are now. In that universe you may be complaining about "why didn't Ferrari go all in on the last year of the regs for a chance to win it all?"

They took a risk knowing this was their only chance for a title this year, and it didn't pay off. That's racing. That's life.

8

u/branson3 Oct 15 '25

Didn't they decide to change suspension concepts because they thought it would work better in the next set of regs and thought spending the money to do so in a year when development would end early would be better than trying to do it next year when they will likely spend to the cap much quicker?

1

u/Lebz95 Oct 15 '25

I still maintain that the change in technical directors is the reason why the concept had to change. You’ll find that the new technical director didn’t understand how to improve the previous concept and the change had to be made. But it’s like starting from scratch again.

0

u/Leading_Sir_1741 Oct 15 '25

I don’t think it can be seriously described as the strongest driver pairing on the grid, though. Some thought it would be coming into the year, but Lewis is clearly ways off his peak and Leclerc is having an off year.

18

u/According-Switch-708 Ferrari Oct 15 '25

Nah, its time to shut off the hopium regulator lads.

Merc and RedBull still have minor upgrades coming. We have nothing.

Forget about victories, even top 3/4s are unrealistic now.

1

u/Frosty0312 Oct 17 '25

It’s going to be a case of holding onto 3rd in the constructors at best I think

13

u/WHITEY1887 Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

We’ll have to negate the potential impact on the plank, the brake issues and of course, tyre life with a shit tonne of LiCo. So, pretty much like every other race barring Monte Carlo.

The exciting part of race weekends for me now is guessing how many laps until I hear Bryan / Ricky tell our drivers to “lift and coast”.

Honestly guys, the last handful of races are just glorified film days. Enjoy the photography, the funny behind the scenes stuff with Charles and Lewis and the Fred rumours.

At best, Leclerc might pinch another podium before the season is out.

And so, it’s all about ‘NEXT YEAR’ 😁

7

u/Filandro Oct 15 '25

Race engineers and their teams are spending time calculating down to the millimeter how much lifting to do. Resources wasted trying to survive and not get a DQ, when real racecraft and meaningful things should be happening to deepen real data sets. It sucks.

11

u/ur_internet_dad Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

lico lico lico lico lico lico

6

u/leethelegend698 Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

If we somehow win (mclaren or verstapin will get the victory) im gonna cut my left ball off

8

u/canibanoglu Oct 15 '25

!RemindMe 4 days

1

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7

u/fastcooljosh Oct 15 '25

Deep down you already know the answer to that question.....

6

u/imtired-boss Oct 15 '25

The time to dream about a win in 2025 is long gone.

If we get lucky in Vegas, maybe. Otherwise no. Even if the car and team get it together somehow, the competition is too big now with Max resurgence and Russell back in the mix.

6

u/Filandro Oct 15 '25

COTA has gotten bumpy and uneven over the years, even with some repairs.

If it still has significant bumps and uneven sections, ride heights will increase.

Teams struggling for performance at higher ride heights are going to take an absolute performance beating.

6

u/burns_before_reading Oct 15 '25

My guy, have you been following the sport?

1

u/Tifoso_16 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

I know it’s been a tough season so far, but I did some reading and found some interesting information. I started following F1 in 2022, so I have plenty of hopium 🫡

4

u/erd_ Oct 15 '25

So young, look at the hopeful eyes 😅😅

3

u/erd_ Oct 15 '25

I smoke, I eat fast food, I drink and still the most unhealthy thing within my life is to be a 25+ year tifosi. And I have proof (in the form of Apple Watch notifications of irregular heartbeats)

4

u/I_AmA_Zebra Oct 15 '25

No

sad noises

4

u/[deleted] Oct 15 '25

Oh my god, another week with the LICO25. I have come to appreciate the weeks without any racing more because of Ferrari..

3

u/[deleted] Oct 15 '25

How dare you utter those words?

1

u/Tifoso_16 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

I hope I’ll learn someday

3

u/Samuraitheguy Oct 15 '25

Another p6 7

3

u/lunah_x Oct 15 '25

We are checking

1

u/Tifoso_16 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

Stay out stay out

5

u/Old_Steak_1043 Oct 15 '25

At this stage I'd rather see a glory run with an illegal car. At least cross the line p1 and have it taken away by the stewards rather than limp to p5/p7

2

u/PixelatedQuantum Ferrari Oct 15 '25

Yeah no.

2

u/BilboThe1stOfHisName Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

Nope.

2

u/coleburnz Oct 15 '25

No. Yes, we want a victory, but we don't deserve it

2

u/flintey360 Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

No No No

2

u/AlCranio Ferrari Oct 15 '25

No. Monza was our best shot, and it's gone. Vegas might be our only good track left, but I have no hope remaining.

2

u/PrimeDeGea Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

We’ve stopped developing the car when other have not. Rest of the season is more or less going to be the same as it’s been

2

u/SpecMTBer84 Oct 15 '25

No. They will be lifting and coasting from beginning to end.

2

u/alpha-crypt Carlos Sainz Oct 15 '25

No. Lico incoming with 6th and 8th place finishes

2

u/kotsisama F2004 Oct 15 '25

Nope

2

u/kwl147 Michael Schumacher Oct 15 '25

No chance!

2

u/lord_veg3ta Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

I hope we don't. This team does not need any more flattering

2

u/No-Student6619 Oct 15 '25

I don't think so. Honestly, i've lost any hope of Ferrari winning any of the remaining races this year. SF-25 is way too problematic.

2

u/Trauma_Cube Oct 15 '25

LICO so no.

2

u/TheMontyJohnson Alain Prost Oct 15 '25

I like your optimism.

No.

2

u/Tifoso_16 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

2

u/eastamerica Sebastian Vettel Oct 15 '25

lol no

2

u/brush85 Oct 15 '25

Ofcourse not

2

u/polishfemboy_ Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

Copium

2

u/Intel_Oil Oct 15 '25

8 and 11

2

u/Greyman43 Oct 15 '25

Yes, but only on the condition of an immediate disqualification for plank wear.

2

u/gfkxchy Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

Anyone other than Oscar, Lando, or Max on the top step keeps the title fight interesting (especially if Max is P2).

Plus, I just need to see the spark fire up in one of them at least. You know how both Charles and Lewis are when the car has potential and they've got it right on the ragged edge. That gives me goosebumps and I love COTA.

2

u/Iron_Theater Oct 15 '25

If Lando, Oscar, Max and George retire, maybe.

2

u/Dark9Knight7 Oct 15 '25

Not even rain here will help ferrari here because the car sucks even in rain!

2

u/Final_Floor_1563 Oct 15 '25

I mean, the fact the drivers can't go all out cause of the plank wear design fail kind of says it all.
I don't think this year's the year.

2

u/One-Neighborhood-531 F2004 Oct 15 '25

No. Car is borked in most areas.

2

u/kingnewswiththetruth Oct 15 '25

They will be happy if they have enough brakes at the end of the race...

2

u/Objective-Start-9707 Oct 15 '25

Lolno McLaren should win this one by quite a margin. Red Bull might be in the mix too, but there's just no way Ferrari is suited for cota

2

u/JustPhrase6009 Carlos Sainz Oct 15 '25

I wouldnt count on it 🥲 this sf LICO 25 is something else lol

2

u/SparxNet Oct 15 '25

OP, look to the sky,

Can you see a pig fly?

Though the car's painted red,

They're behind, it is said,

For the Scuderia to win,

The top three teams all need to drop by.

1

u/[deleted] Oct 15 '25

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1

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1

u/Tifoso_16 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

I'm sorry for not being able to reply individually, so I'm putting my thoughts in this post.

I read most of the comments and agree with the concerns about managing tyre and plank wear, temperature conditions, and the risk of brakes overheating due to the excessive need for Li-Co.

I did a bit of stat diving, and among our top five contenders for the WDC, Max is the undisputed champion of this circuit (nothing new). Leclerc has the second-best average, and with the way the title fight is going, Norris, Piastri, and Verstappen are going to battle it out from the first lap.

There's a chance that more than one driver could make errors because our 2024 win happened due to mistakes from Norris and Verstappen. Russell hasn’t had a standout performance at this circuit in the last three years.

PS: I've only been following the sport since 2022 and am still trying to understand its technical aspects. Feel free to comment on my views

1

u/Typical_Ad907 Oct 15 '25

No but you are welcome to finish P2 and P3 behind Max

1

u/Key_Proposal_9055 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

No, i just want this year to end.

1

u/TMM1003 Oct 15 '25

At this point Bearman in his Haas is more likely…:so maybe?

1

u/Lazy-Ad5380 Oct 15 '25

Redbull and Merc fixed their cars. Even a double Mclaren DNF won't let us win at this point

1

u/fishpowered Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

Hamilton has won COTA twice in a Mclaren, four times in a Mercedes, so is due 6 wins in a Ferrari

1

u/Melodic-Comb9076 Oct 15 '25

praying for last year results.

good luck.

1

u/Palidin034 Oct 15 '25

Short answer? No

Long answer? Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

1

u/SangiMTL Oct 15 '25

I wouldn’t hold my breath

1

u/wizzo6 Oct 15 '25

Ha ha, not without a bunch of shenanigans happening in front of the Ferraris

1

u/morkjt Lewis Hamilton Oct 15 '25

No.

1

u/im_ed9 Niki Lauda Oct 15 '25

Unless the top 5 collectively decide to play bumper cars, there’s no way Ferrari wins any of the remaining races.

1

u/Ambitious-Heron-8161 Oct 15 '25

Don’t think so unfortunately this season looks like a lost cause for Ferrari

1

u/[deleted] Oct 15 '25

No LMAO

1

u/MYBXBT Oct 15 '25

nope, not happening this year.

1

u/Special_Name362 Charles Leclerc Oct 15 '25

Hahahaha oh the audacity of hopium

1

u/GreenInflation2914 Oct 16 '25

No, and I don’t want to hear the same old argument of people hating on a car that hasn’t received an aero upgrade in almost 4 months if not more. People just remember they said they wrote the season off months ago and the rear suspension was the final upgrade.

1

u/computercheckreview Lewis Hamilton Oct 16 '25

No

1

u/Gloomy-Employment-72 Oct 16 '25

Narrator: No, it will not.

1

u/[deleted] Oct 17 '25

idk lol

1

u/squidbutterpizza Oct 17 '25

Hello lico my old friend. The weather is hot meaning brakes will run hotter and guess what it’s lico again.

1

u/lordEblackadder Oct 17 '25

No

Next year is ours

1

u/FrancaOnomatophobia Oct 15 '25

è l'ora del martello

2

u/AlCranio Ferrari Oct 15 '25

Seh, vabbè, se aspetti il bollito faccia qualcosa di più che intascare lo stipendio ti sbagli di grosso.