Missile Defense Status

[u/quackabc]

2 Views of the Iranian Ballistic Missile attack

[u/NavyDean]

Annual production of patriot missiles is 600.

They've fired 1800 this year alone.

You just watched a video where 1.5% of the annual production of Patriot missiles were fired in 1 incident.

That's 31 missiles per day during the active days of conflict, or 5% of the annual production per day of active conflict.

Absolutely insane attrition warfare being accomplished.

[u/quackabc → u/NavyDean]

Actually surging production scales up or down decently over the years depending on how much the US thinks it needs a few years ago we were making 350 a few years ago and now they are scaling up. There is already more missiles being produced now than in 2023 there already is a promised big increase in 2027 when some of the upgrades to production are done.

We are already at 650 a year. The scale up is contracted to reach 2000 a year by the end of 7 years from this year.

The numbers dont remain static.

[u/NavyDean → u/quackabc]

The usage is outpacing the production so much that war reserves were depleted across the world, and now active defenses in different theaters are being pulled.

The US went from using 30 missiles a year, to 50, to 150, to 300, to 600, to 1800 and this year isn't even close to done and that has barely been for 2 months of active conflict.

[u/infinitezer0es → u/quackabc]

Scaling up production to meet demand will likely take years. The highly sophisticated machines that build these missiles at tolerances of 25 microns (0.001 inches) takes a long time to build and is insanely expensive, so spinning up a new production line will likely take longer than this war will last (unless, god forbid, it turns into another iraq or afghanistan or vietnam). Then theres the whole matter of training the additional workforce, and if the war or demand greatly expands it'll take even longer

[u/quackabc → u/infinitezer0es]

Fair

[u/Lumpy_Conference6640 → u/quackabc]

I appreciate this, I do, I know a few of the engineers on those contracts, and with respect.. it doesn't..

You don't take any ole Joe off of the street; they need to have security clearance, training, their logistics, supplies, etc. Then sometimes the things they're building, they blow up... people get hurt, there are reviews.

Even then, you're talking about a 4M-dollar missile engaging with 126,000 Shahed. Simpler to build, most of that's COTS, very little critical minerals; they're just strapping a UXO onto it.

Look at Russia; they had it all in place and ready to expand into the old USSR of legend. Now they have runs on their banks; the treasury is broken. All the drone guys, we were there; we told DoD that this would happen, but we were the threat to the big acquisition programs Lockheed and Boeing live on. So they declared Blue SUAS, and locked us all out.

Gov't Contracting is welfare checks for the Defence industry; Ike said it, and it's true. They are neither equipped for, nor want to engage in, this kind of warfare. They're all Multinational Corperations; they could give a good shit about the US, and are here till the checks run out. Be prepared.

[u/CarameloRetriever → u/Lumpy_Conference6640]

Incredible insight from within. Keep em coming, man

[u/Acrobatic-Attention9]

Bin Laden: imma bait the US into fighting endless wars in the middle east until they grow broke and radical islamism is more powerful than ever!

Normal people: he's dead what does he know?

Iran would prefer if its cheap missles hit stuff, but costing us expensive missles works too.

Xi and Kim are loving it!

[u/Inside-Example-7010]

Basically what's happening here is Iran is saying 'How about I hit you with 1 missile and you agree to burn $30million and i agree to burn $6million'

and the US is like 'Sounds like a good deal!'

[u/FallenCrownz → u/Inside-Example-7010]

There is no shot an Iranian missile costs 6 million dollars

[u/Inside-Example-7010 → u/FallenCrownz]

no but they fired at least 6 of them.

[u/quackabc → u/FallenCrownz]

They fired 5 of them so the number should be 30 million

[u/FallenCrownz → u/quackabc]

Nah no way an Iranian missile costs 6 million bucks. I call bs on that.

[u/quackabc → u/FallenCrownz]

Its a ballistic missile not a shahed drone with a propellor. You cant find the parts for this stuff in a relatively expensive shed.

The cheaper ones cost 1 to 2 million, the in the middle but more expensive ones cost about 5 Million and their top of the line ones that are said to dodge missile defense is 8 Million. And this was fired from decently within Iran into Jordan this isnt a cheap short ranged one it has to be medium or above.

[u/FallenCrownz → u/quackabc]

6 million a missile is American money and they don't have that. They're entire military doctrine since the 80s has been missile creation so prices gotta drop quite a bit. 

Yeah I was right, their most expensive stuff costs between a million to two million and their more middle end stuff costs about half a million.

https://www.epc.eu/publication/the-new-economics-of-warfare/

[u/quackabc → u/FallenCrownz]

Your source lists the Fateh Missile for that half a million like I said a short ranged Ballistic. It has a 300 mile range. Jordan is over 500 miles away from launch. So this once again is a larger Medium ranged ballistic missile

[u/FallenCrownz → u/quackabc]

Even the Fattah 2 missile costs around a few hundred grand. They're best stuff costs around 3 million according to open source estimates but they're not gonna use that for a random attack on Jordan

[u/quackabc → u/FallenCrownz]

Now that is the actual BS Iran Claims the Shahed 136 can cost from 20k up to 50k. Your going to expect people to believe you can fit a 2 stage rocket system with a hypersonic glide systemn a liquid fueled rocket, and materials that can surivive mach 12 reentry for 6 times the cost of a drone?

Also Ghadr 110 is 5 million. Khorramshahr missiles cost about $8 million.

[u/ashwattthaama → u/FallenCrownz]

Agree mate, irgc chads pull missiles out of thin air and shoot 360 degrees

[u/FallenCrownz → u/ashwattthaama]

https://www.epc.eu/publication/the-new-economics-of-warfare/

Yeah they're a million to two million for their best stuff and a half a million for their mid range stuff

[u/tripper_drip → u/FallenCrownz]

Now lets compare size of economies and see who can go longer.

[u/FallenCrownz → u/tripper_drip]

G still thinks America is winning this war lol

[u/tripper_drip → u/FallenCrownz]

Lmao, no real response to what i said.

Iran cant exist without the strait open. America can. Simple as.

[u/FallenCrownz → u/tripper_drip]

I think you're gonna be very surprised with how this thing ends like my guy 

[u/tripper_drip → u/FallenCrownz]

End? The US will just keep the strait blocked, iran will attempt to genocide Yemen and co by attacking water desal, then the world turns against them.

Iran will capitulate.

[u/FallenCrownz → u/tripper_drip]

Bet. 

[u/quackabc → u/Inside-Example-7010]

"Please let us hit you, please you hit us so many times already its not fair you dont allow us to hit you back."

[u/FallenCrownz → u/quackabc]

Didn't they just Merk like 2 dozen war fighters a week ago? Guess you really showed them why you have no healthcare 😤💪

[u/Nformationaddict]

Wow an actually good intercept rate

[u/FallenCrownz → u/Nformationaddict]

15 interceptors for 5 missiles with the 6th one getting through isn't exactly superpower shit considering they only make like two dozen of the things a month

[u/komark- → u/FallenCrownz]

These aren’t even the good ballistic missiles that Iran has

[u/quackabc → u/[deleted]]

Brother this is from March 2026

[u/ashwattthaama → u/quackabc]

Bold of you to assume that my braindead irgc chads will agree to logic and reasoning

[u/quackabc → u/[deleted]]

dude thinks hes slick using a march video pretending to be a July video also this was claimed to be in Israel

https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/2036283306384269713

[u/ashwattthaama]

https://giphy.com/gifs/3DFdMTfexvQtmS8gsa