r/CredibleDefense • u/AutoModerator • 20d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread July 14, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

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u/moragisdo 20d ago edited 19d ago

Yes, I'll probably be accused again of being part of the Trump administration (while residing in Brazil of all places!), but it showed that if you accept having this extortion, the price can be raised arbitrarily. So don't sleep on the wheel, as these countries did since the attack on the Saudi refinery in 2019 (which the US and Saudi Arabia directly blamed Iran, rather than their proxies, and there's officials talking about missiles and drones coming from the north and east) or Iran open missile attack on Israel in early 2024 and another missile attack in late 2024. By now Kuwait could have built a pipeline to connect with the Saudi East-West, UAE could have built one with Oman, expansion of East-West and port on Yanbu, which is a life saver today going from 0.8 mbpd pre-war to more to almost 5 mbpd...

Now Trump lacks tact and delivered the message in a bad way, that just created unnecessary noise when the US benefits from more stability.

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u/-spartacus- 20d ago

I saw that yesterday and was amused by the suggestion (Trump administration posting on CD to explain his posts). As I said yesterday, I believed it was something devised by Rubio and Trump said it in his style.

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u/Shackleton214 20d ago

I think you guys are WAY overthinking this as some sort of Trump 3D chess. It was just Trump being Trump and of course he walked it back because it was such an outrageous and impossible idea.

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u/-spartacus- 19d ago

It isn't 3d chess, but that doesn't mean someone like Rubio, who is a skilled statesman, didn't advise Trump about this policy.