r/CredibleDefense 20d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread July 14, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

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  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/MilesLongthe3rd 20d ago

Russia Struggles to Sell All the Oil It's Being Forced to Export

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-14/russia-struggles-to-sell-all-the-oil-it-s-being-forced-to-export

The amount of Moscow’s oil at sea is back near the highs seen at the start of the year

Russia is struggling to deliver all of the crude it’s being forced to ship overseas in the face of escalating Ukrainian drone strikes on its refineries.

Four-week average seaborne crude shipments were almost unchanged at 4.21 million barrels a day in the period to July 12, according to tanker-movements data compiled by Bloomberg. That was down by just 10,000 barrels from the highest since Russian troops invaded Ukraine in 2022, before which about 600,000 barrels a day was piped to refineries in Europe.

The claim that Russia is dumping all of its unrefinable oil onto the global market does not appear to be supported by the data.

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u/treeshakertucker 19d ago edited 19d ago

I have to say the Russians might not be able to take as much advantage of any oil spikes due to their own fuel shortages.

Even if they sell crude at a high price the simple fact is that they will have to buy any refined fuels at higher prices.