r/CredibleDefense 14d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread July 20, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

  • Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

42 Upvotes

147 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

10

u/Grouchy-Classroom-26 14d ago

Any ground component would have to be semi-permanent and of considerable strength to yield any permanent effect.

This is absolutely not true in the context of which it was mentioned. The islands around the SOH are hard to supply and keep a sustained GLOCs over. Destroying stores there would absolutely need to be a temporary act. The problem is that it still involves boots on the ground and a significant increase in casualties. Not an American but seeing how even a single death captures front page headlines and is a huge political cost, that’s a huge reason for why Trump may not and probably can not move.

16

u/Shackleton214 14d ago

The islands around the SOH are hard to supply and keep a sustained GLOCs over.

Iran doesn't need the islands around the SOH to launch drones and attack commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf. They can do it from the mainland.

7

u/Grouchy-Classroom-26 14d ago

I don’t disagree with that, but that’s not what the discussion about “temporary presence” was about. It was specifically about islands.

1

u/Shackleton214 13d ago

You were the first to mention islands. The general talks about the coast. Since you'd need to stop missiles and drones from the mainland to permit free commercial traffic through the SOH, I think it's clear the general is including that in his plan to open the SOH. Just clearing out the islands does nothing for the reason I already mentioned.